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Read a prediction contract before its price

A checklist for event definitions, resolution and access requirements.

CHECKED 2026-11-01 · GOBLIXO EDITORIAL

Find the resolution rule

Identify the precise event, cutoff time and authority used to settle it. Polymarket’s documentation explains its resolution process. Read the rules for the individual contract and follow the stated resolution source; a social post or an event headline does not define the complete contract.

Keep probabilities in context

Market prices are tradable prices, not guarantees. Fees and the final execution price matter. Two markets with similar names may resolve differently.

Check your access

Read the appropriate provider’s current terms for your jurisdiction. Polymarket links separate US documentation. Do not bypass access controls. Trading can result in losses, including fees.

Official starting points

This is a general research checklist, not a recommendation to buy, trade or deposit. Provider documentation was checked on 2026-11-01; verify subsequent changes.